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Weekly Newsletter

This Week in Retail

A five-minute read every Friday. The week's store closures and expansions with markets and box sizes, custom data visualizations for CRE operators, and the occasional deep-dive on a retailer worth understanding. Written by the GrowthFactor team.

Every Edition

What you’ll get

Closure & Expansion Tracker

The week's store moves in a pin-to-the-wall table: retailer, count, box size, markets, format type. Scannable in 60 seconds, ready for your committee deck.

Custom Data Visualizations

Every edition ships with inline charts built for the story. Openings versus closures, market comparisons, closure timelines. Designed for operators, not analysts.

Original Market Analysis

When a week has a thread worth going deep on, we take it. Reverse-engineered site selection formulas, new-market demographic profiles, closure pipeline maps. Powered by the GrowthFactor platform.

Archive

Past editions

TWIR #35May 7, 2026

Bankruptcies +42% YoY. Burlington's May Calendar Hit 26.

April commercial Chapter 11 filings jumped 42% YoY. Burlington's May calendar landed 26 stores, with 45 of the 110-store FY26 plan in former Joann boxes.

TWIR #34April 30, 2026

Eddie Bauer's Last 150 Stores Went Dark April 30. Brent Hit $126. Operators Signed 53 New Leases Anyway.

April 30 was the largest single-day anchor exit of the cycle. Eddie Bauer's 150 boxes, Nordstrom's Christiana anchor, and Saks's first wave all went dark the same day. Brent crude crossed $126/bbl. Operators signed 53 new units anyway.

TWIR #33April 22, 2026

March Retail Sales Hit $752B. The Same Week, QVC Filed Chapter 11 and Journeys Started Pulling Out of Malls.

Journeys is cutting 150+ mall stores through lease nonrenewal. QVC Group filed Chapter 11 to restructure $6.6B in debt. March retail sales were $752.1 billion, up 4% year over year. Three separate stories.

TWIR #32April 16, 2026

7-Eleven Is Cutting 645 Stores. Dave's Hot Chicken Opened 8 in One Day. Sentiment Hit 47.6.

7-Eleven disclosed plans to cut 645 U.S. stores in fiscal 2026 against 205 opens. Dave's Hot Chicken opened 8 in one day. Michigan consumer sentiment hit 47.6, a record low. Same week.

TWIR #31April 9, 2026

65 Carl's Jr. Restaurants in Chapter 11. 15 Huey Magoo's Units on a Half-Size Prototype. Same Week.

Friendly Franchisees filed Chapter 11 on 65 California Carl's Jr. restaurants. Huey Magoo's signed a 15-unit Texas deal on a brand-new 1,500 sq ft prototype — half the traditional footprint. Diesel jumped 4.5% in one week. Two operators, same cost pressure, two different responses.

TWIR #30April 2, 2026

I Reverse-Engineered ALDI's Site Selection Formula From 67 Trade Zones

I profiled 67 ALDI trade zones across 8 states and found the 4 variables they hold constant. Then I scored their 5 new Phoenix sites against the baseline. Three are textbook. One is a genuine outlier.

TWIR #29March 26, 2026

Aldi Is Opening 180 Stores. Eddie Bauer Is Closing All 175. Same Quarter.

~3,000 locations going dark by mid-year. 1,500+ new stores committed in the same quarter. Here's who's closing what size box, who's expanding into those markets, and which formats backfill which.

TWIR #28March 19, 2026

Retail Earnings Didn't Get the Memo on Consumer Confidence

Consumer sentiment hits 2026 lows while Q4 retail earnings crush across formats. Oil above $110, Fed holds rates, tariffs baked in. The confidence gap between mood and money, and what it means for CRE.

TWIR #27March 12, 2026

The Economy Lost 92,000 Jobs in February. Card Spending Hit a Three-Year High.

February payrolls fell 92,000 while card spending hit a 3-year high. Off-price adds 360 stores. Apparel CPI spiked 1.3% in one month as tariff costs reach price tags. The spending base is strong but narrowing.

TWIR #26March 6, 2026

Ross Stores Posted +9% Comp. Wendy's Posted -11.3%. Same Week.

Ross Stores' +9% comp and Wendy's -11.3% define the widest Q4 earnings spread yet. 1,400+ store closures from six retailers, Target's $2B strategic pivot, and automation deployments at Walmart, Kroger, and NAPA reshape the tenant pipeline.

TWIR #25February 26, 2026

Q4 Earnings Looked Great. The 15% Tariff Landed the Same Week.

Four major retailers beat Q4 expectations the same week a 15% tariff surcharge took effect. JLL reports retail absorption doubled while construction starts fell 44%. The barbell between value and mid-market keeps widening.

TWIR #24February 21, 2026

This Week in Retail: February 2026 Edition

Dollar General's aggressive expansion continues, Chipotle tests a new format, and what the latest consumer spending data tells us about site selection in 2026.

TWIR #23February 19, 2026

Consumer Confidence Just Hit a Wall. Spending Didn't.

Consumer confidence hits recession thresholds while Walmart posts 4.6% comp growth and Redbook accelerates to 7.2%. The spending split, tariff front-loading, and private label records reveal where retail dollars are actually flowing.

TWIR #22February 12, 2026

730 Stores Got Their Notice This Week. One Chain Went Public.

Three retailers file bankruptcy (730+ stores closing) the same week Bob's Discount Furniture IPOs at $2.22B. Kroger gets a Walmart CEO. Target tests ChatGPT ads. The tenant roster is reshuffling.

TWIR #21February 5, 2026

The Speed Race: Walmart Bets $330M on Automation as Amazon Delivers 8 Billion Same-Day Items

Walmart bets $330M on Louisiana DC automation as Amazon delivers 8B same-day items in 2025. Tractor Supply expands final-mile to 1,200 stores. Eddie Bauer, Saks Off 5th join closure list.

TWIR #20January 29, 2026

The Automation Week: 33,000 Jobs Cut as Retailers Restructure for AI

33,000+ retail jobs cut in one week as Amazon, Home Depot, Nike, and Pinterest restructure for AI. Consumer confidence hits 12-year low. Amazon exits Fresh/Go (72 stores). Francesca's liquidates 450 locations.

TWIR #19January 22, 2026

The Sentiment-Spending Disconnect: Confidence Craters While Private Label Hits Records

Consumer confidence hits 8-month low, but spending adapts. Private label records ($282.8B), big-ticket pullback, tariff pass-through begins. GameStop closes 475 stores; Tractor Supply opens 100.

TWIR #18January 15, 2026

The Week AI Checkout Went Live: Google, Microsoft, and Saks Global's $3.4 Billion Unraveling

AI checkout goes live across Google, Microsoft, ChatGPT. Saks Global files bankruptcy with $3.4B debt. GameStop closes ~470 stores in two weeks. Aldi expands 180+ locations.

TWIR #17January 8, 2026

The Great Disconnect: $257.8 Billion in Holiday E-Commerce, Consumer Confidence at Multi-Year Lows

Record $257.8B holiday e-commerce amid five months of confidence declines. Bank of America documents widest income-spending gap in a decade. AI adopters saw 2x sales growth.

TWIR #16December 5, 2025

How Weather Data Creates Small Advantages in Retail Site Selection

Black Friday data shows weather can create 28-point performance gaps between regions. Here's how climate modeling adds incremental value to retail real estate decisions.

TWIR #15November 21, 2025

ChatGPT Wants To Be Your New Storefront

ChatGPT is rolling out "Instant Checkout" from approved merchants to its 800M weekly users. Target, Walmart, and others are jumping onboard. What will this mean for Brick-and-Mortar stores?

TWIR #14November 6, 2025

What Retailers Are Betting On: Following the Money Through Holiday Uncertainty

TWIR #13October 31, 2025

Retail's Record Halloween Spending Meets Historic Pessimism

Consumers feel worse about the economy than any time since 1997, yet they're still spending at near-record levels

TWIR #12October 23, 2025

Retail Confidence Indicators Turn Negative as Spending Growth Decelerates Through October

Real-time sales tracking, consumer sentiment, and hiring plans all shift downward in October despite positive year-over-year comparisons still holding.

TWIR #11August 7, 2025

The Retail Performance Gap: Why Digital Leaders Operate 31% Leaner Than Everyone Else

New data reveals top 5% of retailers achieving 31% lower fulfillment costs through integrated automation, while 83% struggle with basic omnichannel execution.

TWIR #10July 31, 2025

Why Half Your Customers Can't Afford Your Stuff Anymore

Bank of America just dropped data showing customers are literally living in two different economies—and retailers who don't pick a side are getting crushed.

TWIR #9July 17, 2025

Retail's Strategic Consumer in the Uncertainty Economy

Consumer anxiety has replaced seasonal patterns as retail's new calendar. Smart brands are building strategies around permanent uncertainty instead of waiting for stability.

TWIR #8July 10, 2025

Someone Rewrote The Retail Playbook While We Weren't Looking

The formulas that built retail empires for decades just stopped working. Here's what replaced them.

TWIR #7June 26, 2025

When Robots Learn to Speak Customer

The AI era isn't all about replacing workers with machines. Sometimes it's giving every employee a helping hand.

TWIR #6June 20, 2025

The Retail Reality Check

Reality is sending retailers a bill, and the payment methods reveal everything about who survives and who doesn't.

TWIR #5June 12, 2025

The Department Store at the End of the World

The retail apocalypse turned out to be just another Tuesday with better sales data.

TWIR #4May 29, 2025

ICSC Las Vegas Proved Retail Teams Are Done Rolling the Dice

At ICSC Las Vegas, retail teams tested our AI agent Waldo in real-time. The response was overwhelming— 2 new customers signed within a week.

TWIR #3May 15, 2025

The New Retail Paradox - When Physical Meets Digital

Remember when everyone thought physical retail was on its deathbed? Turns out, it's not just alive—it's thriving. But here's the kicker: it's happening in a way no one expected.

TWIR #2May 8, 2025

Chapter 22 and the Great Reshuffling

Bankruptcies surge, 15,000 stores to close, yet some thrive. This week's retail reshuffling reveals who's folding and who's expanding in the great retail reset of 2025.

TWIR #1May 1, 2025

Beyond Four Walls: How Smart Retailers Are Redefining Space in 2025

Retail paradox: Physical stores thrive by going digital. Bankruptcies become strategy, not failure. Success isn't about location—it's about purpose.

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